Lede · Mkt Markets

Permits, Not Geology, Are Picking the Winners in America's $4,300-Gold, $13,700-Copper Mining Revival

Record gold and copper prices and a federal permitting push have revived US hard-rock exploration in Nevada, Arizona and Alaska, but litigation and water still separate the projects that advance from the ones that stall.

The Take

The Take — in a $4,300-gold, $13,700-copper market the rocks are no longer the constraint; the permit map is. Bet on private-land and Tier-1-jurisdiction projects (AngloGold's Arthur, Hudbay's Copper World, Ivanhoe Electric's Santa Cruz) and treat the federal-land fights (Resolution, Pebble) as option value, not a base case.

Live threadSituation Desk

Who controls the supply chain

One thread runs through half the complex: it was never about demand, it's about who owns the mines, the midstream and the processing — and right now that's a short list of countries. Our running coverage of the chokepoint.

Latest across the basket

Ni · NickelHard Truths

Indonesia didn't win the nickel war. It changed what winning means.

A wall of Indonesian laterite and HPAL capacity, much of it China-backed, has flattened the cost curve and left a graveyard of Western nickel producers. Pretending class 1 and class 2 are the same metal is how you misread the whole thing.

Jun 14, 2026CoCCuLiNi DeskConviction
Co · Cobalt

The industry has been 'going cobalt-free' for a decade. It's still buying cobalt.

LFP took share, every cathode maker promised to engineer cobalt out, and yet the DRC still anchors the metal — and in 2025 the Congolese government proved it, banning then rationing exports and roughly doubling the price. Read the chemistry that ships, not the chemistry in the press release.

Jun 10, 2026CoCCuLiNi DeskConviction
Cu · Copper

How to read a junior explorer's press release without getting played

A field guide to the language juniors use when they want your money. Bonanza intercepts, 'district-scale potential,' and the difference between a discovery and a stock promotion. Companies, not just commodities, get covered here.

Jun 4, 2026CoCCuLiNi DeskConviction

The Columns

The Long Game

The structural bull case, for people who can hold a position longer than a quarter.

Champion Iron is about to flip half of Bloom Lake to 69% Fe — the quality trade gets a producer
Hard Truths

What the cost curve and the filings actually say, once the story's stripped out.

Washington Just Wrote Energy Fuels a $725M Check — and Rare Earths Aren't Even Rare
The Water Cooler

What the trading desk is actually whispering — positioning, flows, sentiment.

Permits, Not Geology, Are Picking the Winners in America's $4,300-Gold, $13,700-Copper Mining Revival
Field Notes

Dispatches from the conference circuit and the field, with the tongue in the cheek.

Gold's near US$4,200 and Evolution just went net cash — the gold miner as cash machine
Go deeper

Where the rocks actually are

An interactive map of the mines and infrastructure that move this market — owner, stage, reserves, resources, status, and who controls the ports and smelters in between.

Open the Global Mine Map →

The thing that decides everything

Government & Policy

Tariffs, export bans, the IRA, critical-minerals lists, permitting, and resource nationalism. Mining is a policy business wearing a geology costume.

Read the Policy desk →